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Bitcoin's Trump Rally: Would the Federal Reserve Halt the Momentum?

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin may rally early in January but could lose steam ahead of the Federal Reserve's January 29 meeting;
  • Inflation data and Federal Reserve decisions are key factors influencing Bitcoin’s performance in 2025;
  • Cautious investor sentiment might arise as the Federal Reserve's policy impacts market momentum.
Bitcoin's Trump Rally: Would the Federal Reserve Halt the Momentum?

Anticipation is growing for Bitcoin’s BTC $97,056.68 potential rally as Donald Trump’s presidential inauguration approaches on January 20. 

However, analysts suggest this momentum may slow by the end of the month as the Federal Reserve announces its first interest rate decision of the year.

Markus Thielen, founder of 10x Research, shared his expectations for Bitcoin’s price movements in a January 5 report.

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Thielen predicted a strong start for Bitcoin in early January. He also expects a slight pullback around January 15, when the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data is released, followed by another rally closer to inauguration day.

Thielen explained:

A favorable inflation print could reignite optimism, fueling a rally into the Trump inauguration.

Despite this optimism, Thielen believes the market could cool down ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on January 29. He noted that traders may become cautious, as announcements from the Federal Reserve often affect market behavior.

The Federal Reserve’s actions are a key risk for Bitcoin’s performance in 2025, according to Thielen. While inflation may decline, he believes it could take time for the Federal Reserve to adjust its policies accordingly. He said:

We anticipate lower inflation this year, though it may take some time for the Federal Reserve to recognize and respond to this shift formally.

As anticipation for Bitcoin's potential rally builds up, Fred Thiel recently shared a straightforward tip for investing in Bitcoin. What is it? Read the full story.

Aaron S. Editor-In-Chief
Having completed a Master’s degree in Economics, Politics, and Cultures of the East Asia region, Aaron has written scientific papers analyzing the differences between Western and Collective forms of capitalism in the post-World War II era.
With close to a decade of experience in the FinTech industry, Aaron understands all of the biggest issues and struggles that crypto enthusiasts face. He’s a passionate analyst who is concerned with data-driven and fact-based content, as well as that which speaks to both Web3 natives and industry newcomers.
Aaron is the go-to person for everything and anything related to digital currencies. With a huge passion for blockchain & Web3 education, Aaron strives to transform the space as we know it, and make it more approachable to complete beginners.
Aaron has been quoted by multiple established outlets, and is a published author himself. Even during his free time, he enjoys researching the market trends, and looking for the next supernova.

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